Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.005315 0.005877 0.006485 0.007196 0.008006 0.008902 0.009974
2025-07-27 0.004359 0.005119 0.006007 0.007130 0.008524 0.010215 0.012445
2025-08-03 0.003842 0.004692 0.005735 0.007126 0.008960 0.011331 0.014695
2025-08-10 0.003442 0.004332 0.005466 0.007045 0.009229 0.012208 0.016698
2025-08-17 0.003179 0.004106 0.005328 0.007093 0.009643 0.013293 0.019117
2025-08-24 0.002923 0.003858 0.005125 0.007015 0.009847 0.014078 0.021181
2025-08-31 0.002666 0.003582 0.004853 0.006800 0.009811 0.014480 0.022674
2025-09-07 0.002503 0.003422 0.004727 0.006781 0.010060 0.015337 0.025040
2025-09-14 0.002424 0.003375 0.004757 0.006995 0.010690 0.016882 0.028862
2025-09-21 0.002266 0.003199 0.004580 0.006863 0.010735 0.017433 0.030931
2025-09-28 0.002125 0.003037 0.004410 0.006726 0.010750 0.017924 0.032954
2025-10-05 0.002027 0.002936 0.004327 0.006721 0.010991 0.018849 0.036017
2025-10-12 0.001965 0.002889 0.004332 0.006877 0.011557 0.020505 0.041088
2025-10-19 0.001862 0.002771 0.004215 0.006815 0.011719 0.021406 0.044703
2025-10-26 0.001780 0.002681 0.004137 0.006811 0.011987 0.022557 0.049177
2025-11-02 0.001692 0.002577 0.004025 0.006735 0.012103 0.023397 0.053071
2025-11-09 0.001633 0.002515 0.003982 0.006780 0.012465 0.024830 0.058895
2025-11-16 0.001559 0.002423 0.003881 0.006706 0.012570 0.025694 0.063377
2025-11-23 0.001469 0.002302 0.003719 0.006502 0.012380 0.025837 0.065803
2025-11-30 0.001415 0.002237 0.003655 0.006485 0.012589 0.026973 0.071583
2025-12-07 0.001396 0.002233 0.003700 0.006687 0.013308 0.029503 0.082660
2025-12-14 0.001333 0.002148 0.003589 0.006563 0.013270 0.030070 0.087291
2025-12-21 0.001273 0.002065 0.003480 0.006433 0.013204 0.030555 0.091807